Existence of Day-of-the-Week Effect in Returns of Some Selected Indices of the Indian Stock Market
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2017/v4/i1/112884Keywords:
Calendar Anomaly
, Day-of-the-Week Effect, Volatility, ANOVA, Auto Regression, GARCHC12
, C58, G11, G14Paper Submission Date
, October 19, 2016, Paper sent back for Revision, December 14, Paper Acceptance Date, March 22, 2017.Abstract
The present study attempted to measure day-of-the-week effect on the returns and volatility of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE) indices for the period from 2005 through 2014. Along with the descriptive statistics, t-test and ANOVA were used to capture mean deference in returns for the trading days Monday through Friday. Mean returns of only one index, Nifty Junior, were found statistically significant while using t-test ; whereas, no such difference was observed in any of the index (BSE and NSE) in ANOVA. To confirm the findings of t-test and ANOVA, an econometric model AR (1)-GARCH (1, 1) was used. In contrast to the findings of the other indices, returns on Monday for BSE small cap were found to be statistically significant. It was also observed that volatility on Monday for returns on BSE small cap were statistically significant. Returns on Tuesday, for BSE small cap and BSE mid cap, were found to be negative and statistically significant. Returns on these two indices were also found to be negatively volatile on Tuesday. Wednesday effect was only observed for Nifty Junior, but no volatility was captured on Wednesday for Nifty Junior. Returns on Nifty Junior were also found to be positive and statistically significant on Friday, but volatility was captured for returns on Nifty Junior on Friday.Downloads
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
References
Aggarwal, R., & Rivoli, P. (1989). Seasonal and day of the week effects in four emerging stock markets. Financial Review, 24 (4), 541-550. DOI : 10.1111/j.1540-6288.1989.tb00359.x
Amarnani, N., & Vaidya, P. (2014). Study of calendar anomalies in Indian stock markets. Amarnani, N., and Rijwani, P. (Eds.). Perspectives on financial markets and systems - market efficiency, behavioural finance and financial inclusion. Ahmedabad : Institute of Management, Nirma University.
Arsad, Z., & Coutts, J. A. (1996). The weekend effect, good news, bad news and the financial times industrial ordinary shares index: 1935 - 1994. Applied Economics Letters, 3 (12), 797-801. DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/135048596355628
Athanassakos, G., & Robinson, M. J. (1994). The day-of-the-week anomaly : The Toronto stock exchange experience. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 21 (6), 833 - 856. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.1994.tb00351.x
Baillie, R. T., & DeGennaro, R. P. (1990). Stock returns and volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25 (2), 203 - 214. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2330824
Balaban, E. (1995). Day-of-the-week effects : New evidence from an emerging stock market. Applied Economics Letters, 2 (5), 139-143.
Bildik, R. (2004). Are calendar anomalies still alive: Evidence from Istanbul stock exchange. DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.598904
Chan, K. C., Karolyi, G. A., & Stulz, R. M. (1992). Global financial markets and the risk premium on U.S. equity. Journal of Financial Economics, 32 (2), 137 - 167. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(92)90016-Q
Chan, S. H., Leung, W., & Wang, K. (2004). The impact of institutional investors on the Monday seasonal. Journal of Business, 77 (4), 967-986.
Chang, E. C., Pinegar, J. M., & Ravichandran, R. (1993). International evidence on the robustness of the day-of-the week effect. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 28 (4), 497 - 513. DOI: 10.2307/2331162
Corhay, A., & Rad, A. T. (1994). Statistical properties of daily returns: Evidence from European stock markets. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 21 (2), 271 - 282. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.1994.tb00318.x
Corhay, A., Fatemi, A. M., & Rad, A. T. (1995). On the presence of a day-of-the-week effect in the foreign exchange market. Managerial Finance, 21 (8), 32 - 43.
Cross, F. (1973). The behaviour of stock prices on Fridays and Mondays. Financial Analysts Journal, 29 (6), 67 - 69. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/faj.v29.n6.67
Damodaran, A. (1989). The weekend in information release: A study of earning and dividend announcements. Review of Financial Studies, 2 (4), 607 - 623.
Das, B., & Jariya, A. M. I. (2009). Day of the week effect and the stock returns in the Colombo stock exchange: An analysis of empirical evidence. Indian Journal of Finance, 3(8), 31-38. DOI: 10.17010/ijf/2009/v3i8/71594
Dubois, M., & Louvet, P. (1986). The day-of-the-week effect: The international evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 20(9), 1463 - 1484. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(95)00054-2
Flannary, M. J., & Protopapadakis, A. A. (1988). From T-bills to common stocks: Investigating the generality of intra-week return seasonality. Journal of Finance, 43 (2), 431 - 450. DOI: 10.2307/2328469
French, K. R. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect. Journal of Financial Economics, 8 (1), 55-69.
French, K. R., Schwert, G. W., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1987). Expected stock returns and volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 19 (1), 3 - 29.
Gay, G. D., & Kim, T. (1987). An investigation into seasonality in the futures market. Journal of Futures Markets, 7(2), 169 - 181. DOI: 10.1002/fut.3990070207
Gesser, V., & Poncet, P. (1997). Volatility patterns : Theory and dome evidence from the dollar-mark option market. Journal of Derivatives, 5 (2), 46 - 61.
Gibbons, M. R., & Hess, P. (1981). Day-of-the-week effects and asset returns. Journal of Business, 54 (4), 579-596. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/296147
Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779 - 1801. DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05128.x
Jacobs, B. I., & Levy, K. N. (1988). Calendar anomalies: Abnormal returns at calendar turning points. Financial Analysts Journal, 44 (6), 28-39.
Jaffe, J., & Westerfield, R. (1985). Patterns in Japanese common stock returns: Day-of-the week and turn of the year effects. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20 (2), 261-272. DOI: 10.2307/2330959
Jain, P. C., & Joh, G. (1988). The dependence between hourly prices and trading volume. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 23 (3),269 - 284.
Kato, K., & Schallheim, J. S. (1985). Seasonal and size anomalies in the Japanese stock market. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20 (2), 243 - 260.
Keim, D. B., & Stambaugh R. F. (1984). A further investigation of the weekend effect in stock returns. Journal of Finance, 39 (3), 819 - 835. DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03675.x
Khanna, V. (2015). Day-of-the-week effect in returns in the Indian capital market : Evidence from the National Stock exchange. Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 2(2), 26-43. DOI: 10.17010/ijrcm/2015/v2/i2/102675
Lakonishok, J., & Levi, M. (1982). Weekend effects in stock returns: A note. Journal of Finance, 37(3), 883 - 889. DOI: 10.2307/2327716
Lakonishok, J., & Maberly E. (1990). The weekend effect: Trading patterns of individual and institutional investors. Journal of Finance, 45 (1), 231-243. DOI: 10.2307/2328818
Ma, C. W. (1989). Forecasting efficiency of energy futures prices. Journal of Futures Markets, 9 (5), 393 - 419. DOI:10.1002/fut.3990090504
Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59 (2), 347 - 370. DOI: 10.2307/2938260
Osborne, M. F. M. (1962). Periodic structure in the Brownian motion of the stock market. Operations Research, 10 (3), 345-379. DOI: 10.1287/opre.10.3.345
Poornima, S., & Chitra, V. (2014). An empirical analysis of Friday effect in NSE NIFTY Companies. Journal of Commerce and Trade, 9 (1), 46-52.
Raghuram, G. (2017). Investigating the 'month of the year' effect in India. Indian Journal of Finance, 11 (1), 11-28. DOI: 10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i1/108958
Rogalski, R. J. (1984). New finding regarding day-of-the-week returns over trading and non trading period: A note. Journal of Finance, 39 (5), 1603 - 1614. DOI: 10.2307/2327747
Singhal, A., & Bahure, V. (2009). Weekend effect of stock returns in the Indian market. Great Lakes Herald, 3 (1), 12-22.
Smirlock, M., & Starks, L. (1983). Day of the week and intraday effects in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 17(1), 197 - 210. doi : http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(86)90011-5
Solnik, B., & Bousquet, L. (1990). Day of the week effect on the Paris Bourse. Journal of Banking and Finance, 14 (2-3), 461- 468.
Theodossiou, P., & Lee, U. (1993). Mean and volatility spillovers across major national stock markets: Further empirical evidence. Journal of Financial Research, 16 (4), 337 -350. DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.1993.tb00152.x
Wang, K., Li, Y., & Erickson, J. (1997). A new look at the Monday effect. Journal of Finance, 52 (5), 2171 - 2186. DOI: 10.2307/2329480