Importance of Financial Econometric Models in Analyzing the Performance of Equity Investments in the Capital Market : A Study

Authors

  •   Vidyadhar Reddy Aileni Tenured Expert Angel, Brane Enterprises Limited, Hyderabad – 500 033, Andhra Pradesh
  •   Ramesh Mastipuram Research Scholar, Department of Business Management, Osmania University, Hyderabad – 500 007, Andhra Pradesh
  •   Rama Raju Kanumuri President, Brane Enterprises Limited, USA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2024/v11i2/174179

Keywords:

financial econometrics

, risk, return, volatility, stock, and investments.

Paper Submission Date

, January 15, 2024, Paper sent back for Revision, March 25, Paper Acceptance Date, April 20, 2024

Abstract

The study underlined the various financial econometric techniques to evaluate the performance of financial investments made in capital markets. The present research work studied the market trends in capital markets and analyzed the factors influencing the market movements. The study also evaluated the risk characteristics of investors and the investments made in the capital market. The study aimed to estimate the returns of investments based on the risk characteristics by use of financial econometrics after evaluating the risk characteristics. The study project also looked at investment volatility and identified the elements that affected it, as well as the influence of volatility on investments and the projected effect of volatility on capital market investments. The current research work performed financial modeling using the different applications and techniques of financial econometrics, studied the volatility and risk characteristics of investments, and developed solutions for minimizing the risk of investors. The study assessed the performance of stocks depending on the company and industry and examined the performance of several chosen firm stocks. It recommended that investors use financial econometric modeling to optimize their investment returns.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Published

2024-06-01

How to Cite

Aileni, V. R., Mastipuram, R., & Kanumuri, R. R. (2024). Importance of Financial Econometric Models in Analyzing the Performance of Equity Investments in the Capital Market : A Study. Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 11(2), 62–77. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2024/v11i2/174179

References

Andersson, O., & Haglund, E. (2015). Financial econometrics: A comparison of GARCH type model performances when forecasting VaR (Thesis, Department of Statistics). Digital Scientific Archive. https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-243245

Ashwani, & Sheera, V. P. (2018). Indian stock market volatility and economic fundamentals: MIDAS approach. Indian Journal of Finance, 12(8), 7–21. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2018/v12i8/130741

Babu, A. S., & Reddy, S. K. (2015). Exchange rate forecasting using ARIMA, neural network and fuzzy neuron. Journal of Stock & Forex Trading, 4(3), 1000155. https://doi.org/10.4172/2168-9458.1000155

Balasubramanian, K., Veeramanoharan, G., Kumar, J. H., & Paramasivan, B. (2021). Stock market prediction using machine learning. International Journal of Scientific Research in Science and Technology (IJSRST), 9(1), 916–922.

Bouzinanis, G., & Hughston, L. P. (2020). Optimal hedging in incomplete markets. Applied Mathematical Finance, 27(4), 265–287. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350486X.2020.1819831

De, S., & Chakraborty, T. (2015). Foreign portfolio investment and stock market volatility in India. Indian Journal of Finance, 9(1), 49–59. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2015/v9i1/71535

Deshpande, R. (2017). Semi-strong form of market efficiency: Does all critical information affect stock price valuations? Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 4(2), 15–24. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2017/v4/i2/116085

Hoseinzade, E., & Haratizadeh, S. (2019). CNNpred: CNN-based stock market prediction using a diverse set of variables. Expert Systems with Applications, 129, 273–285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2019.03.029

Jiang, W. (2021). Applications of deep learning in stock market prediction: Recent progress. Expert Systems with Applications, 184, 115537. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115537

Kim, R., So, C. H., Jeong, M., Lee, S., Kim, J., & Kang, J. (2019). HATS: A hierarchical graph attention network for stock movement prediction. arXiv preprint, arXiv:1908.07999. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1908.07999

Kumar, A., & Khanna, S. (2018). GARCH - BEKK approach to volatility behavior and spillover : Evidence from India, China, Hong Kong, and Japan. Indian Journal of Finance, 12(4), 7–19. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2018/v12i4/122791

Kumar, S., & Singh, G. (2023). The day-of-the-week effect in the Indian stock market revisited. Journal of Commerce & Accounting Research, 12(3), p. 12.

Lakshmanan, M. P. (2019). Arima model in predicting NSE Nifty50 index. Proceedings of five day workshop on financial econometrics from 15th to 19th October (pp. 53–61). Directorate of Collegiate Education, Government of Kerala.

Nelson, D. M., Pereira, A. C., & Oliveira, R. A. (2017). Stock market's price movement prediction with LSTM neural networks. In 2017 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), 1419–1426. IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/IJCNN.2017.7966019

Patil, R. (2024). Pricing of equity investment - An empirical analysis of Indian capital market. International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR), 12(03), 683–689. https://doi.org/10.21474/ijar01/18438

Qin, Q., Wang, Q.-G., Ge, S. S., & Ramakrishnan, G. (2011). Chinese stock price and volatility predictions with multiple technical indicators. Journal of Intelligent Learning Systems and Applications, 3(4), 209–219. https://doi.org/10.4236/jilsa.2011.34024

Reddy, C. V. (2019). Predicting the stock market index using stochastic time series ARIMA modelling: The sample of BSE and NSE. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(8), 7–25. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i8/146301

Shah, J., Vaidya, D., & Shah, M. (2022). A comprehensive review on multiple hybrid deep learning approaches for stock prediction. Intelligent Systems with Applications, 16, 200111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswa.2022.200111

Tripathi, V., & Seth, R. (2014). Stock market performance and macroeconomic factors: The study of Indian equity market. Global Business Review, 15(2), 291–316. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150914523599

Zhou, Z., Zhang, L., Zha, R., Hao, Q., Xu, T., Wu, D., & Chen, E. (2022). Multi-relational graph convolution network for stock movement prediction. In 2022 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), (pp. 1–8). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/IJCNN55064.2022.9892482